Only one winner of The Everest has finished outside the Quinella in their lead-up run to the world’s richest race on turf.
Redzel won the first edition of The Everest in 2017 when third-up after proving victorious in both the Concorde Stakes and The Shorts. He followed the same path when going back-to-back in The Everest in 2018. But his final lead-up run in The Shorts resulted in a 5th placing.
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Lead-up runs into the Everest since:
Yes Yes Yes – 2nd Golden Rose
Classique Legend – 2nd The Premiere
Nature Strip – 2nd The Shorts
Giga Kick – 1st Danehill Stakes
TRACKWALKER INFO FOR RANDWICK OCTOBER 14
At acceptance time on Wednesday the track is in perfect order. We are not expecting a lot of irrigation and there is minimal rain forecast. Track should be close to a Good 3 come Everest time. We’d suggest an advantage to horses that can settle forward of midfield in a stalking position. Track should be fairly even across with a small advantage to be in lanes 2-6
WHO’S HOT AT RANDWICK?
James McDonald has won 25 races at Randwick over the past 12 months, more than any hoop on the planet. And he’s struck at a lofty 21 per cent but he isn’t profitable to follow. If you had backed each of J Mac’s rides you’d be down 5 per cent on your investment. Most profitable Randwick jockeys over the past 12 months [won 10 races or more]: ZAC LLOYD, NASH RAWILLER
Race 7 No.1 I WISH I WIN
He’s the most proven Group 1 weight-for-age galloper in this field. He not only has the best peak rating in the race but also the most consistent ratings at the top level. Lots of discussion about him drawing barrier one and being blocked for a run. He lacks gate speed and if he’d drawn a wide barrier, it would’ve meant he sat last in a race that looks devoid of natural speed. We think he can settle closer than he usually does and then go bang with that massive spurt he possesses
Race 9 No.2 MR BRIGHTSIDE
No horse in Australia is running better this spring. He’s won all three starts including two at Group 1 level. They brought him to Randwick and won the last two Doncaster Miles over this track and distance. Clocked the best last 600m of the day winning the Makybe Diva Stakes last time and looks primed for this.
Mr Brightside is red-hot this spring. Credit: Racing Photos via Getty Images
Race 3 No.4 ARCTIC GLAMOUR
Massive win first-up clocking the best last 1000, 800, 600, 400 and 200M of the day when destroying the class benchmark by 7L. Only has to hold that to be winning this.
Meanwhile in Melbourne, Caulfield hosts a trio of Group 1s highlighted by the Caulfield Guineas.
The 3YO race has been labelled a prize-fight between the Sydney colt, Militarize and the unbeaten Steparty, who hails from Melbourne.
TRACKWALKER INFO FOR CAULFIELD OCTOBER 14
Some advantage being in lanes 3-9 as opposed to hard against the fence. Best settling position should be 4th, one off the rail. Stalking the speed suited here
WHO’S HOT AT CAULFIELD?
James Cummings has a Caulfield strike rate of 30 per cent over the last 365 days and if you’d backed each of his runners you’d be up around 23 per cent on turnover
Race 9 (The Guineas) No.1 MILITARIZE
Sydney colt tackling Caulfield for the first time and they’ve dealt him the visitors draw. If he can win this then you’ll he’ll be a dual Group 1 winner at two and three years. Probably makes him your Cox Plate favourite pending on what Amelia’s Jewel does in the Toorak Hcp
Race 3 No.4 MILITARY MISSION
Those that read our review article on Mondays will note we made this guy a horse to follow. He was the only runner that took significant ground off Just Fine in the Metropolitan Hcp and his ratings this prep have gone to a new level. Newcastle Cup winner two starts back and the Waterhouse/Bott stable flying at present with a strike rate of around 30 per cent for the last 90 days.
Race 5 No.2 UNCOMMON JAMES
Didn’t handle The Valley last start, is unbeaten in 3 runs second-up and gets blinkers on first time. Watch for sharp improvement.
Peter Moody’s Everest wish doesn’t come true in barrier nightmare
Trainer warning as Aussie customs do deal for Cox Plate favourite
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