The times have been crunched and here are the standout performances from Everest and Caulfield Guineas day 2023.
The highest rated victory across Randwick and Caulfield was Alligator Blood according to ratings experts Punting Form
WATCH THE VIDEO ABOVE: The thrilling finish to The Everest.
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TRACK PATTERN [CAULFIELD]
The 10 winners used lanes 2 – 12 with the Sweet Spot being lanes 2-8. Our Trackwalker Info published last Wednesday suggested lanes 3-9
WHO WAS HOT AT CAULFIELD?
Training honours went to the Waterhouse – Bott stable with a double courtesy of Military Mission and Alligator Blood while Damien Lane rode a double aboard Ayrton and Wishlor Lass
ALLIGATOR BLOOD – 1ST Group 1 Might & Power Stakes [2000m]
He prevailed in a brutally run race where they went through the first 1400m 16.6L faster than G1 average for this track and trip. His winning time of 2:02.00 was 6.4L faster than G1 average. This is his career peak rating and he has well and truly ticked the 2000m box. His rating here would win him around 90 per cent of Cox Plate’s over the past two decades. But the query is how does he pull up from such a brutal run? Plenty of horses off a race this shape will go flat like Amelia’s Jewel did in Toorak Hcp, who came out of a fast run race at The Valley
ASFOORA – 1st Group 2 Schillaci Stakes [1100m]
She was allowed to lead going nearly 5L slower than average through the first 500m and then produced the fastest last 600m of the day to go all the way. The rival jockeys behind Uncommon James have a lot to answer for as they’ve handed this race to Asfoora. Her winning time of 1:03.88 was bang on average but her last 600m was 4.7L inside the standard signalling she could’ve gone faster
CURRAN – 5th Race 5 G2 Schillaci Stakes [1100m]
He went through the first 500m 9.6L slower than G2 average and gave Asfoora a 4.6L head start. He’s clocked the best last 400m and 200m of the day. We prefer him at 1100m and if he sticks to this distance next start he’ll be worth having a close look at off this hidden run
Clocked the 7th fastest last 200m when coming from an impossible position at the turn to finish fifth in the Group 1 Caulfield Guineas. He’ll drop to 49.5kg in the Cox Plate and we might see them ride him more positively. It mightn’t have looked like a sterling Cox Plate trial but this is the perfect race shape to bounce out of and run a career peak at your next run. He is our Cox Plate tip this far out.
WHO WAS HOT AT RANDWICK?
James McDonald rode a double with I Am Me and Fangirl while Chris Waller trained a double with Vienna Princess and Fangirl
Winners came through lanes 1-8 with the Sweet Spot being lanes 2-6. This area supplied eight of the 10 winners and credit to our Trackwalker team, who told us in last Wednesday’s preview that lanes 2-6 would provide some advantage
THINK ABOUT IT 1st The Everest [1200m]
Clocked 1:07.68 which is2.3L faster than Group 1 average time for 1200m at Randwick. He’s definitely a Group 1 weight-for-age galloper that has tasted defeat just once in his career. Connections are contemplating a spell as he ran during the winter but third placegetter Private Eye will head to Melbourne for the Champions Sprint.
IN SECRET – 4th The Everest [1200m]
She’s reeled off the best last 1000, 800, 600, 400 and 200m of the day and still got beaten meaning she was too far back in the run. Her last 600m was 8.5L faster than Group 1 average and she proved here that she is up to the best sprinters in the land at weight-for-age
KOVALICA – 5th Group 1 King Charles Stakes [1600m]
Fangirl won this slowly run affair producing an overall time of 1:33.64, which is 3.7L slower than G1 average. That’s because the lead speed for the first 1000m was 5.7L slower than average. For Kovalica, a G1 2400m winner, this was simply too slow for him to figure in the finish despite the Waller-trained galloper producing the third fastest last 400 and 200m of the day.
KOVALICA At $21 he’s our Cox Plate roughie. He keeps hitting the line with some of the fastest late splits of the day and everything he has done at his past two starts over 1600m says he desperately wants 2000m
Make sure you catch our preview article on Wednesday afternoon, which features Trackwalker Info and Best Bets from Sydney and Melbourne
Think About It holds on to win $20 million Everest
Rank outsider leads all the way in Caulfield Guineas stunner
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